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  hofi33 hozzászólása:

Esélylatolgatás részlet a THN-ről :)

The Avalanche are just not very good. They bleed shots like no other team and are consistently bailed out by goaltending. And yet, they’re right in the thick of the playoff hunt. Just like the team from two seasons ago, the Avs simply defy logic on a regular basis. It’s hard to ignore the chances they consistently give up as it’s not a brand of hockey that’s generally conducive to winning, but perhaps there’s a method to their madness.

They’re clearly better than their shot rates indicate, but even if you look at just goals they’re still a bottom 10 team. And it’s for those reasons that they’re less likely to make the playoffs over Minnesota, despite holding a one point lead and the edge in ROWs. That, and the fact that they have an extremely tough remaining schedule. The average win percentage of remaining teams they face is 0.552 which is essentially a 100 point team. First they’ve got two teams hungry for a playoff spot in Philadelphia and Minnesota then it’s games against Nashville (x2), St. Louis (x2), Washington, Dallas, Anaheim. Good luck with that. If it’s not Colorado’s own putrid play that leads to their demise, the strength of their remaining opponents just might.


http://www.thehockeynews.com/blog/five-teams-three-playoff-spots-who-has-the-best-odds-of-making-it-to-the-post-season/

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